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Two million new cycle commuters about to take to the roads, says CycleScheme

People fed up with overcrowding and squalor of public transport apparently

Driven out of public transport by overcrowding and squalor, and out of cars by congestion, two million new cycle commuters are set to take to the roads this spring, and three times that number of new cyclists will be out on their bikes for the first time.

That’s the optimistic claim arising from new research by Cycle to Work provider Cyclescheme.co.uk.

Commuters are apparently fed up of the frustrations of public transport. Half of those surveyed admit to being frequently late for meetings due to public transport, and one in twenty say they have been pickpocketed on their way to work.

And then there’s the ick factor of cramming on to buses and trains. A quarter have had a passengers’ armpit in their face, whilst a third have smelt a stranger’s morning breath.

More seriously, surveys show as many as 30 percent of women have experienced sexual harassment on public transport, an experienced that’s especially distressing when its impossible to get away.

Cyclescheme says one in ten Brits plan to change their journey to work in some way this spring. Two million people plan to ‘spring clean their commute’ by cycling to work for the first time.

Spring is the best time to try a new activity, according to psychologist Dr Anjula Mutanda. Research shows three in four people plan to make a ‘spring resolution’ this year, rather than New Year’s.

Dr Mutanda said: “Spring signals nature’s new start and we aren’t immune from it. The physiological affect on mood as well as positive associations with spring as a time of renewal make us want to engage in something new.

“Spring is perfect for new goals like cycling to work, because there is greater synchronicity between our physical environment and our mindset.”

As administered by Cyclescheme and its partner organisations in the Cycle to Work Alliance, the Cycle to Work scheme provides a tax break of 25 to 42 percent for the purchase of a new bike and accessories.

John has been writing about bikes and cycling for over 30 years since discovering that people were mug enough to pay him for it rather than expecting him to do an honest day's work.

He was heavily involved in the mountain bike boom of the late 1980s as a racer, team manager and race promoter, and that led to writing for Mountain Biking UK magazine shortly after its inception. He got the gig by phoning up the editor and telling him the magazine was rubbish and he could do better. Rather than telling him to get lost, MBUK editor Tym Manley called John’s bluff and the rest is history.

Since then he has worked on MTB Pro magazine and was editor of Maximum Mountain Bike and Australian Mountain Bike magazines, before switching to the web in 2000 to work for CyclingNews.com. Along with road.cc founder Tony Farrelly, John was on the launch team for BikeRadar.com and subsequently became editor in chief of Future Publishing’s group of cycling magazines and websites, including Cycling Plus, MBUK, What Mountain Bike and Procycling.

John has also written for Cyclist magazine, edited the BikeMagic website and was founding editor of TotalWomensCycling.com before handing over to someone far more representative of the site's main audience.

He joined road.cc in 2013. He lives in Cambridge where the lack of hills is more than made up for by the headwinds.

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Gashead | 10 years ago
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@md6 I get several of these rude, selfish people every day coming in via Stockwell and Vauxhall Bridge to Green Park. Prime spot for shoalers is right in front of Buckingham Palace. I stop at the stop line for turning right into The Mall as dictated by the law only to see an ever increasing number of people pass in front of me, the heavier and potentially slower their bike, particularly Ken Bikes, the more directly in my path they will stop. It is becoming increasingly difficult to find that perfect line across to the run-off into Green Park as opposed to being stuck behind the shoalers unable to get under the railings just before the light-controlled crossing which seems to be timed to go red just as the prior traffic lights go green. First world problem maybe but it is staggering the number of people who have no sense of stopping at stop lines and not impeding those who do's progress. If they tried that at a cashpoint they would soon get told where to go!

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joemmo | 10 years ago
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Press Release says:

Company With Commercial Interest In People Cycling To Work Says More People Are Going To Cycle To Work And They Are Totally Going To Be Really Busy Just In Time For Annual Funding Reviews Shock.

Daily Fails says:

PREPARE FOR THE LYCROPALYPSE! TERROR IN THE STREETS AS MILLIONS OF LETHAL CANCER CAUSING CYCLISTS UNLEASHED ON BRITAINS TRADITIONAL ROADS UNTAXED AND READY TO STEAL YOUR HARD-EARNED TARMAC HERITAGE AND PROBABLY TAKE IT BACK TO BULGARIA FOR THEIR 9 CHILDREN TO EAT

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rggfddne replied to joemmo | 10 years ago
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joemmo wrote:

Press Release says:

Company With Commercial Interest In People Cycling To Work Says More People Are Going To Cycle To Work And They Are Totally Going To Be Really Busy Just In Time For Annual Funding Reviews Shock.

Daily Fails says:

PREPARE FOR THE LYCROPALYPSE! TERROR IN THE STREETS AS MILLIONS OF LETHAL CANCER CAUSING CYCLISTS UNLEASHED ON BRITAINS TRADITIONAL ROADS UNTAXED AND READY TO STEAL YOUR HARD-EARNED TARMAC HERITAGE AND PROBABLY TAKE IT BACK TO BULGARIA FOR THEIR 9 CHILDREN TO EAT

Damn, you nearly forgot immigration  1

Probably next to a pic of a fruity female celeb straddling a dutch bike. Or, in the telegraph, with a half-page rapha advertorial overleaf.

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bikebot replied to joemmo | 10 years ago
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joemmo wrote:

Daily Fails says:

PREPARE FOR THE LYCROPALYPSE! TERROR IN THE STREETS AS MILLIONS OF LETHAL CANCER CAUSING CYCLISTS UNLEASHED ON BRITAINS TRADITIONAL ROADS UNTAXED AND READY TO STEAL YOUR HARD-EARNED TARMAC HERITAGE AND PROBABLY TAKE IT BACK TO BULGARIA FOR THEIR 9 CHILDREN TO EAT

I can't remember if it was in the Fail, but during the recent coverage of the Paris smog cloud I saw a real comment from someone demanding that all cyclists be banned as he thought the pollution was caused by sweating.  24

I think my favourite news site comment though was from someone who got so angry they became a bit muddled and started calling cyclists "latex louts/loonies".

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Kapelmuur replied to bikebot | 10 years ago
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bikebot wrote:
joemmo wrote:

Daily Fails says:

PREPARE FOR THE LYCROPALYPSE! TERROR IN THE STREETS AS MILLIONS OF LETHAL CANCER CAUSING CYCLISTS UNLEASHED ON BRITAINS TRADITIONAL ROADS UNTAXED AND READY TO STEAL YOUR HARD-EARNED TARMAC HERITAGE AND PROBABLY TAKE IT BACK TO BULGARIA FOR THEIR 9 CHILDREN TO EAT

I can't remember if it was in the Fail, but during the recent coverage of the Paris smog cloud I saw a real comment from someone demanding that all cyclists be banned as he thought the pollution was caused by sweating.  24

I think my favourite news site comment though was from someone who got so angry they became a bit muddled and started calling cyclists "latex louts/loonies".

The Telegraph motor cycling correspondent, Erin Baker, wrote a few weeks ago words to the effect that cyclists stopping in the advance boxes caused pollution because they slowed motor traffic thus making it use more fuel.

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bikebot replied to Kapelmuur | 10 years ago
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Crosshouses wrote:

The Telegraph motor cycling correspondent, Erin Baker, wrote a few weeks ago words to the effect that cyclists stopping in the advance boxes caused pollution because they slowed motor traffic thus making it use more fuel.

When I get slowed down by long queues of cars I get hungry.
If I get really hungry I may have to buy a burger.
Burgers are made from cows.
Cows fart methane
Methane is a strong greenhouse gas.
This argument is incredibly dumb, but still not as stupid as Erin's.

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Kapelmuur replied to bikebot | 10 years ago
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bikebot wrote:
joemmo wrote:

Daily Fails says:

PREPARE FOR THE LYCROPALYPSE! TERROR IN THE STREETS AS MILLIONS OF LETHAL CANCER CAUSING CYCLISTS UNLEASHED ON BRITAINS TRADITIONAL ROADS UNTAXED AND READY TO STEAL YOUR HARD-EARNED TARMAC HERITAGE AND PROBABLY TAKE IT BACK TO BULGARIA FOR THEIR 9 CHILDREN TO EAT

I can't remember if it was in the Fail, but during the recent coverage of the Paris smog cloud I saw a real comment from someone demanding that all cyclists be banned as he thought the pollution was caused by sweating.  24

I think my favourite news site comment though was from someone who got so angry they became a bit muddled and started calling cyclists "latex louts/loonies".

The Telegraph motor cycling correspondent, Erin Baker, wrote a few weeks ago words to the effect that cyclists stopping in the advance boxes caused pollution because they slowed motor traffic thus making it use more fuel.

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md6 | 10 years ago
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During London tube strikes there are a lot of additional commute cyclists around. This is a good and a bad thing in equal measure. Good as more people are cycling, bad as lots of them are not exprienced in traffic and around other cyclists which can make them a little dangerous. Last tube strike i had one guy who would ride up behind and round to stop just infront and to the right of me at lights. At least he stopped. Then as soon as the lights turned he would veer left to get back to the pavement side of the road. After the third time i shouted at him, he had ignored my more polite suggestion not to swing wildly across the road at lights. Hopefully he will be back, but a little more road aware (and polite about his riding).

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jmaccelari | 10 years ago
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Two MILLION? Well, they're certainly not where I'm riding... (yet).

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Neil753 | 10 years ago
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We should be careful not to read too much into the figures from the "cycle to work" scheme. In my experience it's used by many people who already cycle, some of whom indeed already have several bikes.

We should all be asking ourselves whether giving affluent riders a 42% tax break on "yet another bike", and effectively asking other people to pay for that freebie through general taxation, is an appropriate use of resources when we live in a country where we don't even have the money to fix potholes.

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Sam Saunders replied to Neil753 | 10 years ago
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Neil753 wrote:

We should be careful not to read too much into the figures from the "cycle to work" scheme…
…We should all be asking ourselves whether giving affluent riders a 42% tax break on "yet another bike", and effectively asking other people to pay for that freebie through general taxation…

Tax adjustments to achieve shared objectives can be justified (as in the case of the Bike To Work Scheme) by showing that the Exchequer (and hence the nation) is likely to be better off by doing it than not doing it. Advantages to the individual beneficiaries are the mechanism, but only a dull witted or corrupt Chancellor would spend political energy trying to ingratiate the few. £400 to put one more bike in the road sends another £600 of spending into bike shops and their suppliers. It also adds to a range of savings in the public areas that benefit from more cycling and less driving. Pollution, congestion, long-term health, well-being and the rest.

To quibble with the effectiveness of that policy tool or to doubt its financial value is to sit in a very glum place. The same standard applied to fiscal measures in general would bring the Treasury (and the economy) to a full stop. It is only money of course and Government can print of much of that as they want. In periods of sluggish economic activity, shifting the money a bit more quickly is a good thing.

On another tack, I was embarrassed at the side swipes at new cyclists in some other posts. Very silly.

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Neil753 replied to Sam Saunders | 10 years ago
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Sam Saunders wrote:
Neil753 wrote:

We should be careful not to read too much into the figures from the "cycle to work" scheme…
…We should all be asking ourselves whether giving affluent riders a 42% tax break on "yet another bike", and effectively asking other people to pay for that freebie through general taxation…

Tax adjustments to achieve shared objectives can be justified (as in the case of the Bike To Work Scheme) by showing that the Exchequer (and hence the nation) is likely to be better off by doing it than not doing it. Advantages to the individual beneficiaries are the mechanism, but only a dull witted or corrupt Chancellor would spend political energy trying to ingratiate the few. £400 to put one more bike in the road sends another £600 of spending into bike shops and their suppliers. It also adds to a range of savings in the public areas that benefit from more cycling and less driving. Pollution, congestion, long-term health, well-being and the rest.

To quibble with the effectiveness of that policy tool or to doubt its financial value is to sit in a very glum place. The same standard applied to fiscal measures in general would bring the Treasury (and the economy) to a full stop. It is only money of course and Government can print of much of that as they want. In periods of sluggish economic activity, shifting the money a bit more quickly is a good thing.

Sam, do you have a vested interest in the "cycle to work" scheme by any chance? You talk a good talk, but the scheme is expensive, poorly targeted, easily exploited, and excludes pensioners, students and the self employed, all of whom are obliged to collectively pay for a subsidy of up to £420 (sometimes more, if the firm has a credit licence), for the purchase of bikes by many higher earners, who may not use them to cycle to work, and who may own one or more bikes already.

The thing is, it isn't "£400 to put one more bike on the road", is it? If half the scheme applicants already have a bike, and of that subset only half will ride to work, then that £400 becomes £1,600. And, if you take the ten percent figures that some believe to be more realistic, that £400 becomes £40,000.

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Joeinpoole replied to Neil753 | 10 years ago
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Neil753 wrote:
Sam Saunders wrote:
Neil753 wrote:

We should be careful not to read too much into the figures from the "cycle to work" scheme…
…We should all be asking ourselves whether giving affluent riders a 42% tax break on "yet another bike", and effectively asking other people to pay for that freebie through general taxation…

Tax adjustments to achieve shared objectives can be justified (as in the case of the Bike To Work Scheme) by showing that the Exchequer (and hence the nation) is likely to be better off by doing it than not doing it. Advantages to the individual beneficiaries are the mechanism, but only a dull witted or corrupt Chancellor would spend political energy trying to ingratiate the few. £400 to put one more bike in the road sends another £600 of spending into bike shops and their suppliers. It also adds to a range of savings in the public areas that benefit from more cycling and less driving. Pollution, congestion, long-term health, well-being and the rest.

To quibble with the effectiveness of that policy tool or to doubt its financial value is to sit in a very glum place. The same standard applied to fiscal measures in general would bring the Treasury (and the economy) to a full stop. It is only money of course and Government can print of much of that as they want. In periods of sluggish economic activity, shifting the money a bit more quickly is a good thing.

Sam, do you have a vested interest in the "cycle to work" scheme by any chance? You talk a good talk, but the scheme is expensive, poorly targeted, easily exploited, and excludes pensioners, students and the self employed, all of whom are obliged to collectively pay for a subsidy of up to £420 (sometimes more, if the firm has a credit licence), for the purchase of bikes by many higher earners, who may not use them to cycle to work, and who may own one or more bikes already.

The thing is, it isn't "£400 to put one more bike on the road", is it? If half the scheme applicants already have a bike, and of that subset only half will ride to work, then that £400 becomes £1,600. And, if you take the ten percent figures that some believe to be more realistic, that £400 becomes £40,000.

Well pensioners, by definition, don't go to work (so don't need to commute) and anyway are being given pension money by the State every week. Obviously they could use that to buy a bike if so desired.

The self-employed could actually write the entire bike and accessories off their tax bill if they could justify that the bike was necessary to do their work. They can also buy cars and vans as a business expense too. Even if a car is largely for private use you can also write off any interest paid on a loan used to buy it.

You are also ignoring the tremendous health benefits of more people cycling regularly too. Imagine the difference in costs to the State of just one person avoiding an early heart attack or stroke and thereby continuing to work and pay their taxes ... or instead them suffering the stroke, then requiring months/years of expensive treatment, then having to leave their job and then spending the rest of their 'working life' being supported on incapacity benefits. What about fewer people being overweight and therefore requiring fewer hip operations and diabetes treatment for example? Your "£40K" guessimate is starting to look like small beer in comparison. The CTW scheme costs next to nothing compared to the potential cost savings of a healthier nation and less congested roads.

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edster99 replied to Sam Saunders | 10 years ago
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Sam Saunders wrote:
Neil753 wrote:

We should be careful not to read too much into the figures from the "cycle to work" scheme…
…We should all be asking ourselves whether giving affluent riders a 42% tax break on "yet another bike", and effectively asking other people to pay for that freebie through general taxation…

Tax adjustments to achieve shared objectives can be justified (as in the case of the Bike To Work Scheme) by showing that the Exchequer (and hence the nation) is likely to be better off by doing it than not doing it. ... Pollution, congestion, long-term health, well-being and the rest.

To quibble with the effectiveness of that policy tool or to doubt its financial value is to sit in a very glum place. The same standard applied to fiscal measures in general would bring the Treasury (and the economy) to a full stop. ...

Interesting post, but not sure I agree.

Without wanting to sound glum (which is not me, generally) I would say that perhaps you are looking at it from the wrong perspective. If we applied evidence based policy to all categories of government spending, we wouldn't have the massive debt mountain that we have at the moment, that has built up over many, many decades (irrespective of the colour of the governments) and we would have a much healthier, more functional society. Instead, it seems that governments only stop a spend when the evidence is irrefutably against - and even then, sometimes short-term political gains override it.

Lets face it, our economy doesn't live within its means, just like the vast majority of western (and probably eastern) economies.

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aslongasicycle | 10 years ago
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Lorks, its SIX million now.

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aslongasicycle | 10 years ago
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If this were going to happen on this scale it would be wonderful.

But it won't. Because the research and extrapolations are ridiculous.

Nice simple easy to understand figure: 1 in 10 will change their commuting habits.

Nice simple easy to understand figure that'll get national press: 2 million new cyclists.

Its SO EASY!

So, lets say 20 million Brits commute in some way. That means of the 1 in 10 who are PLANNING (thinking about?) their commute, ALL of them are going to choose cycling, ALL of them will make good on this plan, and ALL of them can be counted as cycle commuters (does one go count?)

Well, these stats won't help CycleScheme in any way. And certainly won't get it any press.

.....oh.

Cycling is ace. More cyclists cycling are ace. Cycle commuting is ace. But baseless attention grabbing surveys designed for the press are BS.

Oops, got a bit annoyed there.

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jacknorell | 10 years ago
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I expect a bunch of cyclists riding into other cyclists this spring...

Takes a while to get used to commuting.

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georgee replied to jacknorell | 10 years ago
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jacknorell wrote:

I expect a bunch of cyclists riding into other cyclists this spring...

Takes a while to get used to commuting.

That's already upon us, one last week saw me having to readjust my rear brake, one shot past me when overshooting a pet crossing last night only to then witness one ride straight into the back of the other 200m down the road.

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MikeOnABike replied to jacknorell | 10 years ago
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jacknorell wrote:

I expect a bunch of cyclists riding into other cyclists this spring...

Takes a while to get used to commuting.

Sad to say, I had someone on a brand new bike, huffing and puffing, ride right into me just this morning. Thankfully not going to fast so I got my foot down, instead of my face. He did apologise and I accepted. Just gonna have to be more vigilant until the newbies find their wheels.

Even 1 more bike and 1 less car is an improvement.

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Timsen | 10 years ago
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Good news but..... " there may be trouble ahead " whilst our new cycling friends and other road users get used to one another !

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congokid replied to Timsen | 10 years ago
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Timsen wrote:

but..... " there may be trouble ahead " whilst our new cycling friends and other road users get used to one another !

md6 wrote:

bad as lots of them are not exprienced in traffic and around other cyclists which can make them a little dangerous

jacknorell wrote:

I expect a bunch of cyclists riding into other cyclists this spring...

workhard wrote:

...the number of cyclist-on-cyclist SMIDSY's will go up whilst the noobs learn to expect other cyclists.

Sigh.

Who needs cyclist haters, Jeremy Clarkson and the Daily Mail when we've got our very own bike snobs - who presumably already ride bikes.

Everyone might wish to cast their mind back to the launch in 2010 of London's Barclays bike hire scheme. The usual suspects - and no doubt many on here - were predicting carnage on the streets as cycling newcomers and those from abroad cycled under the wheels of buses, taxis and other motor vehicles.

News flash - it never happened.

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md6 replied to congokid | 10 years ago
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congokid][quote=Timsen wrote:

Who needs cyclist haters, Jeremy Clarkson and the Daily Mail when we've got our very own bike snobs - who presumably already ride bikes.

Everyone might wish to cast their mind back to the launch in 2010 of London's Barclays bike hire scheme. The usual suspects - and no doubt many on here - were predicting carnage on the streets as cycling newcomers and those from abroad cycled under the wheels of buses, taxis and other motor vehicles.

News flash - it never happened.

Except in some cases there were problems. I was taken out twice by people on those bikes, one rode into me through a gap between me and a car both stopped at lights (with no advanced box) - they weren't stopping and in order not to hit the car took me out. In a way that was lucky as a lorry came through the junction at about the time they would have been directly in front of (or should i say under) it had they not come off when hitting me. And another time they just pulled the bike out of the rack stepped back without looking and blocked half the road with it - i was unable to swerve as a car was passing me and so i hit the bike they had just shoved in front of me. Admittedly that's only 2 instances, but both i would put down to inexperience, lack of consideration and stupidity (or a combination of each). My experience with tube strike days indicates there are a lot of extra cycle commuters - which is good. However, some of them are dangerous for the same reasons. Lack of experience around traffic and other cyclists and doing wildly unpredicatable things. This is a minority.and in general it is a good thing that there are more people chosing to commute by bike. I think generally people on here have been positive about it, but wary of the minority who may/will be dangerous.

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rore replied to congokid | 10 years ago
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congokid wrote:
Timsen wrote:

but..... " there may be trouble ahead " whilst our new cycling friends and other road users get used to one another !

md6 wrote:

bad as lots of them are not exprienced in traffic and around other cyclists which can make them a little dangerous

jacknorell wrote:

I expect a bunch of cyclists riding into other cyclists this spring...

workhard wrote:

...the number of cyclist-on-cyclist SMIDSY's will go up whilst the noobs learn to expect other cyclists.

Sigh.

Who needs cyclist haters, Jeremy Clarkson and the Daily Mail when we've got our very own bike snobs - who presumably already ride bikes.

Everyone might wish to cast their mind back to the launch in 2010 of London's Barclays bike hire scheme. The usual suspects - and no doubt many on here - were predicting carnage on the streets as cycling newcomers and those from abroad cycled under the wheels of buses, taxis and other motor vehicles.

News flash - it never happened.

More cyclists can only be a good thing. I agree with the less snobbery, more be helpful approach. We need to encourage new cyclists by showing them other cyclists are helpful and courteous and commuting on a bike is the way forward. We have all been noobs, weaving our way along the road, unaware of how to position ourselves, too busy looking at what we're doing rather than what everybody else is doing even if that was when we were kids.

I do find myself cringing in horror at some of the close calls starting at this time of year though, I've even been run into a couple of times myself by other cyclists. This isn't just noobs but also summer cyclists being rusty in city traffic, I wish they'd just take there time for the first few weeks if they're on a bike for the first time, or the first time in 5 months. Other road traffic (vans, taxis and lorries) does seem to take a couple of weeks to adjust to the increase in cyclists too. It's my least favourite time of year to cycle.

As with everything it seems there's a minority of people with bad manners and an elevated sense of self importance spoiling the fun for most by shoaling, red light jumping, etc. I just try to be even more diligent and courteous to all other road users (including pedestrians)

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georgee | 10 years ago
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The Nodderpocolypse is here!

Appart from an increase in the numbers of Allez Man, I welcome the new road users.

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