If cycling were as popular in every Western capital as it is in Copenhagen, the benefits in healthier population and side effects such as reduced emissions would save 10,000 lives a year, according to a new study from the United Nations Economic Commission for Europe (UNECE) and the World Health Organisation (WHO) Regional Office for Europe.
And that’s not all. The organisations say that they have been able to estimate for the first time the economic benefits, which they put at the equivalent of 76,600 new jobs in bicycle retail and maintenance, provision of clothing and accessories for cyclists, urban development and new mobility schemes.
The findings have been released during the Fourth High-level Meeting on Transport, Health and Environment, currently in progress in Paris and organised by UNECE and WHO. The meeting brings together European ministries of transport, health and the environment to examine how innovative transport policies can create employment opportunities, along with healthier and greener societies.
“An efficient transport system is vital for the functioning of modern economies. However, transport can greatly damage environment and health. That is why we call for a bold Paris Declaration, urging government investments in green and healthy transport,” says Zsuzsanna Jakab, WHO Regional Director for Europe. “The pay-offs from these investments are enormous and include new jobs and healthier people from more physical activity, fewer road traffic injuries, less noise and better air quality.”
Pro-environmental and pro-cycling campaigners are often painted as being anti-transport. But the report acknowledges that transport provides jobs and access to leisure activities and livelihoods.
However, it points out that there’s a huge cost to those benefits. Across the region, air pollution, largely caused by traffic, results in almost 500,000 deaths annually, according to new evidence. Road accidents kill 90,000 people prematurely each year. Exposure to excessive street noise affects almost 70 million people. Transport adds 24 percent to total greenhouse gas emissions in Europe and North America. When it discourages physical activity, transport contributes to nearly 1 million deaths per year.
WHO and UNECE see cycling as an essential part of reducing these costs. If 26 percent of all journeys in the region's capital cities were taken by bike, as they are in Danish capital Copenhagen, the benefits would be immense: 10,000 fewer deaths per year and 76,600 new jobs. Extend that beyond the capitals and you’d be talking hundreds of thousands of lives and perhaps a million or more jobs.
To bring it closer to home, the figures for London alone are startling. WHO and UNECE estimate over 500 lives would be saved every year in London. The Greater London Authority (GLA) estimated that in 2008 there were 4,267 deaths attributable to long-term exposure to small-particle air pollution.
The Copenhagenisation of London would also create over 8,000 new jobs.
Active travel organisation Sustrans welcomed the findings.
Sustrans’ London director, German Dector-Vega, said: “The evidence that cycling keeps the wheels of the economy turning and is essential for our good health is now beating us over the head and cannot be ignored.
“We must act now to end car dependency and make cycling a safe and convenient choice by lowering traffic speeds, creating more dedicated space on our roads and by improving education for drivers.
“Cycling is a silver bullet that could rescue the UK from the physical inactivity crisis, the economic downturn and dangerous air pollution.”
For those who love a good table - and who doesn’t? - here are the organisation’s estimates for the benefits by city across Europe and North America.
Potential results of increasing cycling modal share in major cities
Country
|
City
|
Population
|
Current cycling modal
share (%)
|
Estimated number of existing jobs associated with cycling
|
Potential number of additional jobs created
|
Additional lives saved
|
Albania
|
Tirana
|
536,998
|
3 a
|
73
|
562
|
33
|
Andorra
|
Andorra La Vella
|
22,256
|
3 a
|
3
|
23
|
2
|
Armenia
|
Yerevan
|
1,121,933
|
3 a
|
153
|
1,175
|
119
|
Austria
|
Vienna
|
1,721,573
|
6
|
470
|
1,568
|
106
|
Azerbaijan
|
Baku
|
2,122,300
|
3 a
|
290
|
2,223
|
167
|
Belarus
|
Minsk
|
1,885,100
|
0
|
17
|
2,215
|
454
|
Belgium
|
Brussels
|
163,210
|
5
|
37
|
156
|
12
|
Bosnia and Herzegovina
|
Sarajevo
|
305,242
|
3 a
|
42
|
320
|
30
|
Bulgaria
|
Sofia
|
1,170,009
|
1
|
53
|
1,332
|
195
|
Canada
|
Ottawa
|
1,239,140
|
2
|
113
|
1,354
|
100
|
Croatia
|
Zagreb
|
792,875
|
5
|
181
|
758
|
77
|
Cyprus
|
Nicosia
|
55,014
|
3 a
|
8
|
58
|
3
|
Czech Republic
|
Prague
|
1,241,664
|
1
|
57
|
1,413
|
143
|
Denmark
|
Copenhagen
|
549,050
|
26
|
650
|
0
|
0
|
Estonia
|
Tallinn
|
401,072
|
4
|
73
|
402
|
50
|
Finland
|
Helsinki
|
595,384
|
7
|
190
|
515
|
42
|
France
|
Paris
|
2,234,105
|
3
|
305
|
2,340
|
174
|
Georgia
|
Tbilisi
|
1,167,600
|
3 a
|
159
|
1,223
|
147
|
Germany
|
Berlin
|
3,501,872
|
13
|
2,073
|
2,073
|
151
|
Greece
|
Athens
|
655,780
|
2
|
60
|
717
|
47
|
Hungary
|
Budapest
|
1,740,041
|
1
|
79
|
1,981
|
298
|
Iceland
|
Reykjavik
|
117,980
|
3 a
|
16
|
124
|
6
|
Ireland
|
Dublin
|
527,612
|
3
|
72
|
553
|
29
|
Israel
|
Tel Aviv
|
404,543
|
9
|
166
|
313
|
13
|
Italy
|
Rome
|
2,761,477
|
0
|
50
|
3,219
|
154
|
Kazakhstan
|
Astana
|
661,700
|
1
|
30
|
753
|
131
|
Kyrgyzstan
|
Bishkek
|
889,600
|
3 a
|
122
|
932
|
121
|
Latvia
|
Riga
|
650,478
|
3 a
|
89
|
681
|
92
|
Liechtenstein
|
Vaduz
|
5,207
|
3 a
|
1
|
5
|
0
|
Lithuania
|
Vilnius
|
552,008
|
1
|
25
|
628
|
102
|
Luxembourg
|
Luxembourg
|
99,852
|
3 a
|
14
|
105
|
6
|
Malta
|
Valletta
|
6,221
|
3 a
|
1
|
7
|
0
|
Monaco
|
Monaco
|
36,371
|
3 a
|
5
|
38
|
3
|
Montenegro
|
Podgorica
|
180,810
|
3 a
|
25
|
189
|
20
|
Netherlands
|
Amsterdam
|
1,068,724
|
33
|
1,606
|
b
|
b
|
Norway
|
Oslo
|
599,230
|
5
|
136
|
573
|
36
|
Poland
|
Warsaw
|
1,710,130
|
5
|
374
|
1,651
|
194
|
Portugal
|
Lisbon
|
474,696
|
1
|
22
|
540
|
45
|
Republic of Moldova
|
Chisinau
|
789,500
|
3 a
|
108
|
827
|
283
|
Romania
|
Bucharest
|
1,937,421
|
1
|
88
|
2,205
|
132
|
Russian Federation
|
Moscow
|
11,541,000
|
3 a
|
1,576
|
12,085
|
2,912
|
San Marino
|
San Marino
|
4,479
|
3 a
|
1
|
5
|
0
|
Serbia
|
Belgrade
|
1,639,505
|
1
|
75
|
1,866
|
255
|
Slovakia
|
Bratislava
|
411,884
|
3 a
|
56
|
431
|
51
|
Slovenia
|
Ljubljana
|
272,554
|
10
|
124
|
199
|
17
|
Spain
|
Madrid
|
3,265,038
|
1
|
149
|
3,717
|
211
|
Sweden
|
Stockholm
|
864,324
|
1
|
39
|
984
|
54
|
Switzerland
|
Bern
|
124,381
|
11
|
62
|
85
|
5
|
Tajikistan
|
Dushanbe
|
704,000
|
1 a
|
32
|
801
|
82
|
The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia
|
Skopje
|
316,849
|
3 a
|
43
|
332
|
33
|
Turkey
|
Ankara
|
4,890,893
|
3 a
|
668
|
5,122
|
565
|
Turkmenistan
|
Ashgabat
|
637,000
|
3 a
|
87
|
667
|
111
|
Ukraine
|
Kyiv
|
2,772,736
|
1 a
|
126
|
3,156
|
613
|
United Kingdom
|
London
|
7,826,000
|
3
|
1,069
|
8,196
|
542
|
United States of America
|
Washington, DC
|
617,996
|
3
|
84
|
647
|
36
|
Uzbekistan
|
Tashkent
|
2,296,500
|
1 a
|
105
|
2,614
|
197
|
Totals
|
76,658
|
9,401
|
a Assumed modal share – likely to be an overestimate.
b No additional jobs or lives saved are projected for Amsterdam, as its cycling modal share is already higher than that of Copenhagen.
Source: UNECE
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14 comments
There is absolutely no doubt that cycling helps you live longer, or at leasts it's a fun way to try and live longer.
Would I be right in saying that going by these figures cycling in the old eastern block countries is about to rapidly increase. ?
But only if the bike manufacturers make/sell bikes ordinary people want to buy. What use is a head-down, arse-up racer to go to Sainsburys?
I suppose we are lucky to live in a post capitalist / communist society, whose rough edges has been smoothed out to yield a more centrist, consensual, but not necessarily more caring arrangement.
Why lucky? Because we can blog freely, enjoy the benefits of large organized societies, pursue or hobbies, rectify major policy mistakes. Regarding the latter, and befitting these pages, the absurd (public) transport policies in place, which discourage bicycle use, should be rethought from scratch. A biking town is a happy town! Check out Groningen, Utrecht, The Hague, Amsterdam. Or more recently, Tel Aviv and Barcelona.
I was in Beijing recently, spotted only one cyclist in an ocean of cars during my stay, but that was maybe due to the heavy pollution which had sharply reduced visibility.
Cyclists of the World: Unite! Ride out and spread the Truth: Defossilze or Die!
I think you're confusing corruption with capitalism there. Sure, there's imperfections but it's turned out a lot better over here than in say North Korea or Venezuela.
Anyway, the sun's shining so I'm off to ride my bike.
Hmm, not sure how de Tocqueville comes into it but capitalism has arguably led to rising life expectancy in the developed world so I think I'll beg to differ on that one.
I doubt there will be a revolution but attitudes do evolve over time. For example look at the way smoking is viewed vis a vis 20 years ago. In a mere generation it has been pushed to the fringe. All we need is a more hardened attitude on pollution and the tide could turn.
I will accept though that the media is broadly keeping cycling on the fringe rather then accepting it into the mainstream. Still, little by little things are changing.
What would be more interesting is to look at cycling modal share, life expectancy and per capita health care spend (public & private).
I suspect our increased life expectancy in the UK is medically influenced with advances in this field rather than lifestyle.
In addition, most of the modal shift was in the last 30-40 years so any benefit won't show up yet.
What would be more interesting is to look at cycling modal share, life expectancy and per capita health care spend (public & private).
I suspect our increased life expectancy in the UK is medically influenced with advances in this field rather than lifestyle.
In addition, most of the modal shift was in the last 30-40 years so any benefit won't show up yet.
What would be more interesting is to look at cycling modal share, life expectancy and per capita health care spend (public & private).
I suspect our increased life expectancy in the UK is medically influenced with advances in this field rather than lifestyle.
In addition, most of the modal shift was in the last 30-40 years so any benefit won't show up yet.
.
If you look at cycling modal share, life expectancy and per capita health care spend (public & private) it is surprising that we spend less on healthcare than the Dutch and Danes as well !
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_total_health_expenditure_(PPP)_per_capita
However most of the modal shift was in the last 30-40 years so any benefit is unlikely to show up yet.
Nice idea but I'm not sure the 'lives saved' theory is actually supported by the existing data.
Denmark for example is in 37th position in the 'Life Expectancy by Country' table with the UK in 29th. The countries at the top are Japan and Italy, not particularly noted for their use of cycles as a mode of transport.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_life_expectancy
I'm not sure that your doubts are actually supported by the data you quote.
Overall life expectancy is the product of vary many factors besides transport caused deaths. It is not possible to isolate one of the many factors. It is much more justifiable to attribute accident deaths and pollution deaths to the traffic arrangements and air quality of each city.
Of course life expectancy is due to a whole range of factors ... but there appears to be no evidence whatsoever (as yet) that a cycling population lives longer than a non-cycling population.
That *is* disappointing and, to be honest, I'm not sure that I really accept the validity of the Wiki 'data' in it's entirety in this context. Maybe it will take another 20 years before the true results will actually show up?
There's plenty of evidence that individuals who cycle live longer. Which can easily be applied to a larger population.