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44 comments
No update on my email, but with them now saying 35,000 places to be offered the 25,000 ballot places seems more realistic- leaving 10,000 for deferrals, corporates, teams, charities and weirdoes lying down on the job
We plan to get to Leith Hill first and totally block the road, just to piss you all off......lol
Nah, I think we'll either be put off first or last, depending on what is decided. We are faster on the flat and downhill, but will lose a little time on the uphill.
Well I wasn't going to share this, but I thought I might aswell
So that is around 10 places gone for us as a test event
Oh, you wait. You'll be accused of getting in the way of club riders
Good points... so lets keep this dialogue going
I'm very much of the "lets ask direct questions rather than speculate wildly on a forum" school of thinking. Hey. Maybe everyone else could email to ask slightly different versions of my questions? address is helpdesk [at] ridelondon.co.uk
So according to that there are 25,000 places in the ballot.
And they've said that they're looking for 30,000 riders next year (though each year there's about a 10% dropout rate from withdrawals and no-shows).
So they're looking for 5,000 extras which will come from this year's deferrals (given the weather forecast, that's a couple of thousand) and charity places. Anyone know how much charities pay for their packages (and what levels are available - e.g. £1000 for 20 guaranteed places, etc?)
I've emailed them. And got an answer:
So, that's on record, it is an unweighted fair ballot. With them taking 100,000 registrations and there being a 1 in 4 chance, that's 25,000 ballot places available.
If you do not believe this, and still think it is profiled/weighted/etc you are directly accusing them of lying.
Not sure how the chairty places are allocated though? Are the out of that 25k or are there an extra 5k of charity places making it up to the 30k participation that has been bandied about? Clearly if they are out of the 25k then it isn't a 1 in 4?
Well it is pretty clear to me that there is some weighting in the ballot and also that the precise information won't ever be public. It would be nice to know, but then it is free to register so no harm done.
I've got my entry, and my wife's and my parents.
I expect that (in the main) they try and get the fastest off first, to stagger the finish times and allow them a fairly clear ride and I guess that they would need to set some slower people off near the beginning to ensure that they got around in time. There is of course the "estimate factor" where some people will have put in an unrealistic completion time...
I didn't get a place in the ballot for this year, but decided to go for a charity place. Despite getting thoroughly soaked (20 mins walking or stopped whilst they dealt with the aftermath of an accident in Richmond Park when the heavens opened didn't help) I had good fun, had brief chats with a few people on the way round & ended up belting out "I can see clearly now the rain has gone" with another guy as we cycled under the railway in Kingston.
Must go and enter the latest ballot....
My ballot is in, at least it's best part of a year to build up to doing centuries...
Pleased to see you didn't have to pay the entry fee upfront, but then confused as to why you you had to elect now whether, if unsuccesful, you would give the fee to charity...
It's definitely not "fast people off first, slower people off last". Because I started at 0710 and was overtaking 'nodders' pretty much all the way, certainly all the way to Newlands Corner. Likewise there were still fast people overtaking me all the way round. Which implies that even the earliest waves must have some slow people, and the later ones some fast folk.
That is the general approach to the waves but there's plenty of interference. Some people are overly optimistic about what they can achieve, some people put down a particular time to try to get in a wave with a (much faster) mate, some faster people stop to wait for a friend with a later start time and then work their way through, some people puncture and get held up, some people get in via a club entry and that limits when you can start - one of the club slots wasn't until about 8am. I've thought about this a lot (having taken part both years) and think they make the best out of a situation that can never be perfected, as there are too many variables.
Fair point on the predicted times. I'd predicted 6 hours when I initially registered (in 2012 for 2013), which would have been possible the way I was building up. Then I had an accident, deferred to this year, training wasn't quite as it should have been... In the end I finished the 86 in 5:57:56 (start line to finish line), so I was right after all.
I asked this question via twitter when I didn't get a ballot place two years in a row. Their response was:
"The ballot is drawn by computer to ensure the maximum possible number get around the route within the time limit".
Whatever that means........ From what I can gather there is some weighting.
Congestion was fine this year for the early starters. If you're planning a fast ride, make sure you reflect it in your estimated finishing time - the quicker the time you put, the earlier your start time.
The attrition rate this year was pretty low, given the weather. They advertised 23,000 starters and over 20,000 finishers - not bad for an event taking place in the middle of a passing hurricane.
Thanks for the reminder about entering for 2015 - I hadn't clocked that it opened today. Here's hoping second time lucky!
The only congestion I was caught in was in Richmond Park and this was caused by a "Broom Wagon" and a Van for the Bicycles. I think there may have been a crash as there was also a Paramedic attending to someone.
Apart from that Newlands Corner was very busy but did not slow me down (I probably couldn’t have gone any slower without falling off anyway).
Ballot entered for 2015.
True enough. On the 2013 ride the only real congestion point was Leith Hill. This year I went off a little earlier and a lot faster - there was no congestion for me up the road, but as I understand it those who were 30-45 minutes behind encountered an awful lot more.
Using the 2014 event as a reference point for congestion on the route is pointless due to the conditions on the day. The flow of riders got very mixed while on the road for several reasons but all due to the weather.
Riders slowed down dramatically to be safe. Many riders stopped at feed stations/ hubs to get some respite from the conditions.
Punctures, and fixing them took longer.
Having said that generally the congestion was not too bad considering the amount of cyclists on the road. Communication and thinking 30 yards ahead is the key.
Ballot entered for 2015
Average speed doesn't necessarily increase but a more accurate time will be given to stagger the start hopefully thinning the field out more evenly. I have only done three 100 mile sportives (all done since April this year). I already knew what time I might achieve to within 30 mins because of my training and planning of doing my first 100 miler. On the Pru I passed so many people in the first half, then met a huge backlog in the Surrey lanes. I slowed down as I wasn't prepared to fight down the side of the lane risking falling off. When the road opened up again I picked up my pace again. Better management is required of staging the start.
It isn't 30k of riders on the narrow lanes of Surrey, that is why you are sent off on waves. I don't know what the numbers in each wave were, but you don't just get let loose all at the same time
Once I got to the Surrey lanes I had to slow down and go with the flow, which is fine for me, some though who were obviously faster/more determined to keep their average speed up were held up. The more entrants is going to be a problem.
Possible solutions would be
Do away with the professional road race or put that on with sportive and have the pros start first.
Applicants can only ride once they have proven their 100mile time from a previous sportive, then correctly stagger the start.
[1.] Nonstarter, pro races finish in the afternoon: TV.
[2.] Elitist rubbish. I had never done 100miles until I did this event. If only 'proven' sportivists are allowed it will increase the average speed and lead to more congestion not less as the field will have spread less by the climbs.
Or do away with people who think they have a God-given right to go as fast as they please regardless of "the traffic".
I did it this year and the congestion in the Surrey lanes was awful.
30k on the narrow lanes of Surrey would be too much IMHO.
Think we will give it a swerve and just do the closed road rides in Manchester and Cardiff.
The only downside of this ballot system is that anyone can enter regardless of whether they are capable of doing the route or not (same as London marathon).
Last year I was on hurst road just past Hampton court and there had already been approx 18 retirements and this was in good weather, thats 18 places that could have been given to better more commited cyclists. I hate to think what the attrition rate was this year.
NO, those who paid up at the first opening of the ballot, had the choice of 2 outcomes. You get a place or your money goes to charity.
That's not fair!
I could understand the ones who take part in it paying, but all those people who paid and got nothing for it, then to do that year after year!
It's as bad as a 'Ponzi Scheme' .
So the money from all the ones who never took part still gets used towards the service of funding the day, paying for police, support and who ever which means the organizers make a profit and people still keep buying into it ?!
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