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forum
Olympic TT
So who you got?
Seems like an easy-to-tier event, which means I'll be completely wrong, but if I'm making tiers for the race it looks something like this:
Tier 1: Wiggins
Tier 2: Martin, Cancellara (depends on how close he is to 100%), Froome
Tier 3: Chavanel, Pinotti, Sanchez
Tier 4: Fuglsang, van Garderen (is he in the race?), Phinney, Larsson, Westra, Grabsch, Kwiatkowski (is he in the race?)
Everybody else. OK, I probably missed a couple guys... looked at this in a hurry. So who'd I miss? Or who do I have completely wrong.
If you're new please join in and if you have questions pop them below and the forum regulars will answer as best we can.
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101 comments
Between Cancellara's crash and Martin's recent injuries is there anyone who can take on Wiggins? What's your in theory top 5?
Wiggins, Cancellara, Froome, Martin, Sanchez?
Cancellara confirmed he will be on the startline
Id like to think all but one of my riders have the potential to top 10 and should come inside the top 20. All my stars should top 10 when you look at recent form/the size of the field.
Don't discount Vinokourov or Boom for top 10 places at least and it looks like only 38-40 starters so half of the riders will score.
The obvious tactics seem to be either pick three of the top 4 (Wiggins, Froome, Cancellara, Martin) and see who else you can afford (Rogers, Bauer etc) or pick a more balanced team with some quality DSs and only one or two top stars.
Assuming you get the balance right and pick the right cheaper Stars/DSs then I reckon the second option will score more but option 1 is potentially less risky.
Ignore what I said, I just worked out that if you pick 1, 2, 3 you get a total of 120 points. If you pick 4 - 10 you get 116. Clearly, picking the first three then a a few others in the top 10 is the way to go so I think I'll be loading up on expensive stars.
I very much doubt Canc will be riding and I've got for something different in my team, I'm not going for all the normal riders
The key to winning may very well be picking the rider who finishes last. I'm completely serious. That's 10 points for a (probably) super cheap rider. It's just... which obscure rider to pick...
I predict there will be a lot of identical teams for the TT, so I wouldn't be surprised if the highest score is shared by more than one person - which concerns me a bit because I've already made quite a lot of transfers (I just can't help myself :D).
The confusing thing is that the Cycling Fever list is different from some other lists. Anybody have a definitive list?
Van Garderen and Kwiatkowski don't appear on the start list up on cyclingfever. I'd suggest you missed Menchov and Brajkovic from Tier 3?
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